Bond Ratings
Chapters in this video
- 0:00 Why bond ratings are Yelp reviews for corporate debt
- 0:58 The big three agencies and the issuer-pay model
- 2:08 Reading the scales: plus/minus versus 1/2/3 modifiers
- 3:20 The investment-grade cliff and forced selling
- 4:25 The seesaw: upgrades, downgrades, price, and yield
- 5:18 Credit spreads and the economic weather cycle
- 6:47 Rapid-fire exam recap
What this video covers
- The three major credit rating agencies: Standard & Poor's (S&P), Moody's, and Fitch, and how the issuer-pay model creates potential conflicts of interest
- How S&P and Fitch use plus and minus modifiers while Moody's uses 1/2/3 modifiers, and why you cannot mix the two systems
- The investment-grade dividing line at BBB-/Baa3, and what happens when a bond falls to BB+/Ba1 or below
- Why a single-notch downgrade across the investment-grade boundary triggers forced institutional selling and a disproportionately large price drop
- The inverse relationship between rating changes, price, and yield: upgrades raise price and lower yield, while downgrades lower price and raise yield
- What credit spread (yield spread) measures: the yield difference between two rating categories
- Why credit spreads widen during economic downturns (flight to quality) and narrow during expansions
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